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Chinese Outbound Travel Resumes, Focusing on Non-Japanese Destinations

by Robert Van Pash (Editor)
January 7, 2026
in Travel Trade
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Chinese Outbound Travel is Back, Just Not to Japan

Photo Credit: A tourist at Kobe port near Osaka, Japan.  Adobe Stock / Jo Panuwat D

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Article Summary:
Japan has significantly dropped in the rankings of preferred destinations for Chinese travelers, moving from second place to seventh in the latest survey by China Trading Desk. This shift is notable not only for its magnitude but also for its rapid occurrence. Regional Asia continues to dominate Chinese travel choices, with Singapore, Malaysia, and South Korea leading the list. The decline in Japan’s popularity is attributed to political signals following a diplomatic flare-up. Despite this, total outbound trips in 2025 are projected to surpass the 2019 peak of 155 million, with volumes expected to exceed 200 million by 2028, indicating a resilient travel demand.

Key Points:

  1. Japan’s drop in popularity among Chinese travelers from second to seventh place in the latest survey.
  2. Regional Asia remains the top destination for Chinese travelers, with Singapore, Malaysia, and South Korea leading.
  3. Outbound travel volumes in 2025 are expected to surpass the 2019 peak of 155 million, with projections to exceed 200 million by 2028.
  4. The decline in Japan’s popularity is linked to a diplomatic flare-up following a political signal.

Actionable Takeaways:

  • Shift in Travel Preferences: The significant drop in Japan’s ranking among Chinese travelers indicates a shift in travel preferences towards other regional destinations. Travel agencies and destinations should consider diversifying their marketing strategies to cater to this changing demand, focusing on regions like Singapore, Malaysia, and South Korea.
  • Projected Growth in Outbound Travel: With outbound travel volumes expected to surpass 200 million by 2028, there is a strong opportunity for travel-related businesses to scale up operations and services. This growth suggests a robust market for travel tech solutions, fintech innovations in travel payments, and enhanced customer experience technologies.
  • Impact of Diplomatic Events on Travel Demand: The article highlights how political signals can quickly influence travel demand. Travel companies and policymakers should remain vigilant and adaptable to geopolitical developments, ensuring they can respond swiftly to shifts in travel trends and consumer behavior.

Contextual Insights:
The decline in Japan’s popularity among Chinese travelers reflects broader trends in global travel where political and diplomatic events can have immediate and profound impacts on destination choices. This underscores the importance of geopolitical risk assessment in travel planning and marketing strategies. Furthermore, the projected growth in outbound travel volumes by 2028 highlights the resilience and potential of the travel industry, even in the face of short-term setbacks. This context suggests that travel startups and fintech companies should focus on developing solutions that enhance travel experiences and streamline transactions, capitalizing on the increasing demand for seamless and secure travel services. The emphasis on regional Asia as a dominant travel choice also points to the growing interconnectedness of travel markets, suggesting opportunities for collaboration and partnership among destinations to attract Chinese travelers.

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