Amex GBT forecasts stable car rental prices with regional increases

THE NEWS: UK car rental rates are forecast to rise only 0.6%‑1.3% over the next two years, the smallest increase among European markets, according to the Ground Monitor 2026‑2027 from American Express Global Business Travel (Amex GBT).

DETAILS:

WHY IT MATTERS: The restrained rise in UK rental prices helps travel buyers keep overall trip costs down and provides operators with pricing stability, while intense competition and improving vehicle availability push suppliers to protect market share without passing large cost increases to customers.

FAQ

What is the forecasted increase for UK car rental rates over the next two years?
The Ground Monitor 2026‑2027 by American Express Global Business Travel projects UK car‑rental rates to climb between 0.6% and 1.3% over the next two years, placing the increase among the lowest in Europe and roughly in line with the flat‑to‑0.5% hikes forecast for France and Spain.

According to the Amex GBT Ground Monitor 2026‑2027, the forecast shows the UK rising 0.6%‑1.3%; France and Spain are flat to about 0.5%; Germany is expected to increase 1%‑2%; and the Netherlands faces a larger 4%‑5% rise, driven by local vehicle‑tax adjustments.

The Ground Monitor 2026‑2027 indicates that outside Europe, US and Canadian car‑rental rates are expected to grow by 1.5%‑2% over the next two years, whereas Australian rates are slated to increase by a higher, unspecified amount, reflecting broader regional price pressures.

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